The Press · Just the Facts

The Free Press · October 2026 · By Tyler Cowen

Fertility Rates Cited for Mexico, Nigeria, and Latin America

  • Cowen states that the president posted on Truth Social last week urging Minnesotans to “fight back” against Somali immigrants, whom the president said have taken over the state.
  • The author states that the United States now has up to 40 million ethnic Mexicans.
  • Mexico's fertility rate is 1.2 children per woman, according to a recent measurement linked in the article.
  • Nigeria's total fertility rate is estimated at 4.4 children per woman, according to data linked in the article.
  • The author states that Latin American nations frequently have fertility rates lower than the United States, and that most African nations still have above-replacement fertility rates, though rates are mostly falling.
Removed: the author's pro-immigration argument, his prediction that peak Latino migration lies behind the United States, and his framing of whether wealthier countries will shrink in population or admit sizable numbers of migrants from Africa.

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