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Reuters · October 15, 2026

IMF Projects Asia Growth of 4.8% in 2026 and 4.4% in 2027, Down From 5.0% in 2025

  • The International Monetary Fund projected Asia’s economy would grow 4.8% in 2026 and 4.4% in 2027, slowing from 5.0% in 2025, in a regional outlook report issued during its annual meetings in Bangkok on Thursday, according to the report.
  • The IMF said it expected emerging Asia growth to moderate to 5.1% in 2026 from 5.6% last year, and advanced Asian economies to accelerate to 3.2% in 2026 from 2.5% last year, according to the report.
  • The IMF said risks it identified included a prolonged Middle East conflict keeping commodity prices high, a correction in AI demand, and spillovers from rising global bond yields to Asian bond markets, according to the report.
  • The IMF said Asian central banks should remain focused on price stability and that fiscal policy should be targeted and temporary, according to the report.
Removed: Characterization of the outlook and of market volatility, beyond the IMF projections and statements documented above.

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